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Monday, January 4, 2010
Steve Merril s College Full Court 21. February Report
Steve Merril s College Full Court 21. February Report The NCAA Touament is fast approaching, and the next three weeks, the field of 64 begins to form. Tonight the three games of all national TV with a "bubble teams" like Michigan, Xavier, Alabama, Arkansas, and all fighting for the final season with spots critical conference games tonight. Here's a look at every game on ESPN and ESPN-2 for Tuesday. ILLINOIS (-1?, 135) at Michigan (ESPN) Illinois was the national runner-up last season and despite two of their best players, the Illini are back top-10 team and are 22-4 SU on the season. This is a difficult place for Illinois, as travel and play their second game in three days, after a big home win Indiana national TV Sunday afteoon. Illinois won the first meeting against Michigan, 79-74 January 14, Michigan, but the point is as widespread coverage by 10 points on the road underdog. Michigan outshot Illinois 46-42 percent and 46-39 percent overall from three-point range. Michigan is just 1-4 SU / ATS the last five games, but three of the four most recent losses were on the road. Wolverine are heavily involved in at home this season, going 12-2 SU. Michigan battling numerous injuries and three key players Chris Hunter, Jerret Smith and Lester Abram are all regarded as questionable today. Hunter is the second in blocks (21) and fifth in scoring (7.0 ppg). Smith is the third team (41) this season and the team's fourth-leading Scorer Abram (11.5 ppg). XAVIER -1? at Dayton (Espn2) Xavier in this game of a three game home stand, where he went, but just 2-1 SU 1-2 ATS. The Musketeers lost first game against LaSalle, 79-70, 11, when?-Point favorite, but then retued secured with easy conquest Fordham, 84-64, 91-70, and Duquesne. Xavier slightly, to 10 points over Fordham favorites, but not inflated to cover a 22?-Point line against Duquesne. Dayton is one of the most extreme home / road dichotomies in the nation this season as a Flyer Stand SU 11-4 at home, but only 1-10 SU away. Dayton is only 4-8 SU in conference play this season, but they have beaten each of their last four home Atlantic-10 opponents. Both teams are solid in defense, as Xavier is only 62.4 points per game and 39.4 percent from the field (compared to his opponents, with an average of 66.3 ppg and 43.1 percent in total) and the Dayton is allowed only in 61, 0 and 40.0 percent (compared to its opponents, with an average of 67.0 ppg and 42.9 per cent in all). Xavier won the first meeting this season, 60-55, but not as a 12-point favorite on 28 Jan. The Musketeers led 29-23 at half and outshot the Flyers 41-35 percent from the field. The difference in the game was a 21-8 free throw advantage (of evidence) to Xavier. Alabama Arkansas (-7?, 137) (ESPN) A fight between two bubble teams "in the SEC today as the troops are on board, the NCAA Touament. Alabama is currently ranked 38th in RPI, while Arkansas is 57th place. The biggest difference was the greater as the Alabama Crimson Tide calendar is the fifth toughest slate of opponents, while Arkansas has only the first of 73. schedule more difficult. Alabama is 3-4 SU against top-50 opponents and 8 / 8 SU-100 in comparison with the best club, while Arkansas is 3-6 SU against top-50 teams and only 5-6 SU-100 in comparison to top opponents. Alabama underachieved in the month of November and December, and have actually played better basketball to lose, because their leader Scorer, Chuck Davis (15.4 ppg) to a knee injury in early January. Since the loss of January 7, Davis' last game, The Crimson Tide are a good 8-3 SU and 6-3-2 ATS. Alabama Arkansas lost 78-75 in overtime to 1?-Point underdog on January 18, despite outshooting the Crimson Tide 42-40 percent from the field. Arkansas is 3-7 SU on the road this season, but a much closer 14-1 SU at home, including a 85-81 victory over Florida on Saturday. STEVE Merril is a professional sports Handicapper and documented member of the Professional Handicappers League. Download here plays his prize.
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